Game 7: Orioles vs. Rangers

Battle of first-place teams, as the O’s host the 6-0 Texas Rangers. The Birds are dealing with the injury bug; first Matusz then Scott then Guthrie then Hardy (day to day with back/rib issue) then Roberts (who was in the hospital with a stomach issue). They’ve weathered it fine so far, but hopefully they don’t have to deal with it all year.

No game preview for game two of the double header, but getting Jake Fox in for Wieters against a lefty (Matt Harrison) is good move

Tigers:

Batting Fielding fWAR
Ian Kinsler .250/.423/.750 0 0.4
Elvis Andrus .250/.286/.600 0 0.2
Josh Hamilton .273/.385/.409 0 0.1
Adrian Beltre .125/.160/.250 0 -0.2
Michael Young .280/.280/.400 0 0.0
Nelson Cruz .350/.435/1.000 0 0.5
Mike Napoli .500/.636/1.250 0 0.4
Yorvit Torrealba .263/.263/.474 -1 0.0
Julio Borbon .273/.385/.636 0 0.2

This is a good line-up, and one that’ll be tough for a lefty to manage.

Colby Lewis (2011):

ERA FIP xFIP K/9 BB/9 GB% fWAR
4.50 4.95 4.43 6.0 3.0 52.6% 0.1

Lewis came back from Japan last year a new man, posting a sometimes under-noticed 4.4 fWAR.

Lewis doesn’t throw quite as hard as he did in his prospect days (though he averaged over 90 mph with the heater last year), but he has four quality pitches. The slide-piece especially can get some whiffs as his main strike-out pitch.

Orioles:

Batting Fielding fWAR
Brian Roberts .280/.308/.640 0 0.3
Nick Markakis .300/.400/.350 0 0.1
Derrek Lee .182/.280/.318 0 0.0
Vladimir Guerrero .240/.240/.360 0 -0.1
Luke Scott .100/.182/.200 0 -0.2
Adam Jones .182/.174/.318 0 -0.1
Mark Reynolds .238/.273/.381 0 0.0
Matt Wieters .250/.318/.300 0 0.1
Cesar Izturis .333/.500/.333 0 0.0

Nice to see Roberts is OK to play. And it sounds like Hardy will be in for game two.

Zach Britton (2011):

ERA FIP xFIP K/9 BB/9 GB% fWAR
1.50 2.62 3.65 9.0 4.5 30.87% 0.2

I expect Britton to get that groundball rate up closer to his minor league numbers (~65%), but both the K’s and (hopefully) the walks should come down.

The pitch classifications might be a little off here. His sinker should have some more drop on it, I would think. The off-speed pitches were very impressive though, for a guy I thought was going to have to rely on his two-seamer quite a bit.


Stats: UZR, WAR, ERA, FIP, xFIP, K/9 & BB/9, GB%PitchFX

Batting Fielding fWAR
Brian Roberts 0.28/0.308/0.64 0 0.3
Nick Markakis 0.3/0.4/0.35 0 0.1
Derrek Lee 0.182/0.28/0.318 0 0.0
Vladimir Guerrero 0.24/0.24/0.36 0 -0.1
Luke Scott 0.1/0.182/0.2 0 -0.2
Adam Jones 0.182/0.174/0.318 0 -0.1
Mark Reynolds 0.238/0.273/0.381 0 0.0
Matt Wieters 0.25/0.318/0.3 0 0.1
Cesar Izturis 0.333/0.5/0.333 0 0.0