2010 Cy Young Award

With the season over, year-end awards voting time is upon us. I know it’s a bit out of order, but I wanted to start with the AL (and NL) Cy Young* awards.

* Known in the BBA as the Walter Johnson award.

5. Jon Lester

208 IP, 3.25 ERA, 3.13 FIP, 3.29 xFIP, 3.20 SIERA, 5.6 fWAR, 5.0 brWAR

I was really torn between Lester, Verlander, CC, and Price. Lester lead the league in K/9 though, and his runs allowed rates are all very consistent across the board (as well as in the Joe Morgan sense).

4. Jered Weaver

224.1 IP, 3.01 ERA, 3.06 FIP, 3.51 xFIP, 2.97 SIERA, 5.9 fWAR, 5.4 brWAR

He lead the league in K’s with 233 – with his strike-out rate jumping from ~7.5 per nine to 9.4 per nine – as well as SIERA. He was 5th in FIP and xFIP. And he didn’t hit a single batter all year.

3. Francisco Liriano

191.2 IP, 3.62 ERA, 2.66 FIP, 3.06 xFIP, 3.02 SIERA, 6.0 fWAR, 4.6 brWAR

He didn’t crack 200 IP, but he was just plain filthy when he was on the mound. A groundball machine (53.6% GB rate) who K’s tons of batters (9.4 K/9) and has good control (2.7 BB/9) is what Twins’ fans were hoping for out of Liriano coming off Tommy John surgery. Looks like he’s back.

2. Cliff Lee

212.1 IP, 3.18 ERA, 2.58 FIP, 3.23 xFIP, 3.03 SIERA, 7.0 fWAR, 4.3 brWAR

I was really hoping he would break the record for K/BB, but Lee fell short and finished at “just” 10.3 – more than double that of the next closest pitcher. He tied for the league lead in complete games (7), and for a while had more CGs than home runs allowed on the season. His FIP was already the best in the league, but if you take out his starts against the Orioles it drops down to 2.11. He walked 0.76 batters per nine innings, and it was only that high because his walk rate virtually doubled when he went from the Mariners to the Rangers. If Lee hadn’t missed the first month of the season, I’d probably have him in the top spot.

1. Felix Hernandez 249.2 IP, 2.27 ERA, 3.04 FIP, 3.26 xFIP, 3.19 SIERA, 6.2 fWAR, 6.0 brWAR No, I’m not picking King Felix because he was my pre-season selection to win the award. All he did was lead the league in ERA, innings pitched, and brWAR, finish second in K’s (one behind Weaver), third in xFIP, and 4th in FIP and SIERA. He might not have been quite the best pitcher on a rate basis, but he was really good a whole lot. Hopefully the voters will look passed his mediocre record and give his outstanding pitching some attention.

Quick NL ballot:
5. Roy Oswalt
4. Ubaldo Jimenez
3. Adam Wainwright
2. Josh Johnson
1. Roy Halladay